What are the chances of Global Nuclear Winter happening?

Answer 1

war has escalated for 1000s of years

humanity has been unable or unwilling to designate the true cause

we have the ability to destroy all life 60 times over - atomic smoke, block out the sun permanently from everywhere, temperature drops 25 degrees centigrade, three times colder than an ice age, no plants grow, no animals can feed

ie, we are growing war, we are close to nuclear winter, since we have the capacity, and we cannot go on growing war without arriving at nuclear winter, probably in the next 50 years

therefore the chances are 100%, unless we identify and acknowledge the cause of war, and reverse the growth of war

the cause of war is theft - everyone knows what would happen if a govt committed the giant injustice of taking 90% of earnings off 90% of people - tremendous violence would be the result

also, money is good for all needs and almost all wants - therefore the theft of it is very critical and intolerable

1% get 90% of world income, 90% get 10th-1000th of world average hourly income, 99% are underpaid, 1% are overpaid up to a million times world average hourly pay

ie, we have extreme theft, hence extreme violence, extremely fast escalation of war and weaponry

and acknowledgement and realisation that pay theft is the cause of war is not yet even in its infancy

the chances of humanity acknowledging that pay theft is the cause of war, after they have failed to do so for 6000 years, is slim indeed

we are growing war very fast, we are very close to nuclear winter, we cannot continue travelling rapidly towards nuclear winter without soon arriving, therefore the chances are virtually 100%

if people are so sure that no one will use nuclear bombs, why are we concerned at proliferation, why are govts spending billions proliferating, if they believe that no one will use them?

if they believed they will never use them, they would be believing that they are wasting billions for nothing

even if injustice in pay stopped increasing, war and weaponry would keep increasing, as both sides try to win, the overpaid to keep, the underpaid to get back

and injustice in pay is increasing

fortnightly pay from $1 to $1 billion a fortnight's work - from 1000th to a million times world average pay

ie, super hyper extreme injustice - and yet humanity is not even now acknowledging that injustice in pay is the cause of war, even though they will agree that if a govt did such injustice, it would immediately cause giant violence

in other words, humanity is speeding towards a brick wall, that is close, and humanity is not yet acknowledging that it needs to apply the brake - hard

chances of extinction by nuclear winter, global perpetual snowstorm, triple ice age, is virtually 100%

unless humanity surprises itself by pulling its finger out of its *ss and facing reality

if they do, we can save ourselves - we can limit fortunes to the maximum a person can earn and save after living costs [under US$2 million] and spread the overfortunes and overpay income around everyone - every family working average hard will be on US$75,000 - their just earnings

world annual wealth production: US$75,000,000,000,000 [75 trillion] - 1 billion families - ie, US$75,000 each family - plenty for all and justice and peace - liberty, equality, fraternity - the american and french ideals

each couple can retire with US$1,000,000 after 40 years if they save US$25,000 a year - US$1,000,000 gives annual income of US$50,000 at 5%

and we destroy extinction and war and crime

we know it will destroy war and crime because we know that taking 90% off 90% will cause great war and crime, so we know that stopping taking 90% off 90% will stop great war and crime

we are taking 90-99.9% off 90% and 0-90% off another 9% - ie, more extreme injustice than the example - so stopping present injustice will stop even more war and crime than stopping taking just 90% off 90%

we know the cause of violence - we know how to stop the cause of violence - we know that there is no alternative - only stopping the cause will stop the effect - only stopping the injustice in pay will stop the violence -

are we too mad to prefer justice, peace and survival to injustice and extinction soon?

is injustice so good that it is worth murdering 6-7 billion people for?

can we rustle up the maturity and realism to face the facts?

is the conclusion escapable that we are heading for extinction soon? - will burying our heads in the sand of selfdeception save us from real consequences?

we are heading for a brick wall [war is growing, has been growing for millenia]

the brick wall is close [we have the weapons of extinction]

we are travelling fast [the injustice is extreme]

big business is bigger than govt

only the people are stronger than big business

it is up to the people - only the people can save us - democracy is rule by people - leadership from the people - will you do democracy? - will you command and control your plutocracies? - will you take action now that action is vital? - now that inaction is fatal?

money is power - the people are the leaders only when the people are the richest and most powerful, ie, when they prevent wealth concentrating, which was the fundamental of the founding fathers' hope for a land of freedom - democracy will return when just pay returns, when power is spread justly, in proportion to work - do you love tyrants, do you love superoverpaid, superoverpowerful? - or do you love democracy, freedom, peace, safety, the american dream?

are you patriotic? - will you stand up for the restoration of democracy and freedom? - or do you prefer tyranny and war and extinction?

1% get 90% - they are only 10% away from stealing everything! - they have stolen 90%! - are you for theft? - or for the return of stolen goods, and peace, and survival?

every family in the world will get another US$70,000 a year, if the theft by the 1% is stopped

can 99% prevail against 1%? - or will the 99% sit and watch the 1% take us to extinction in 50 years?

we are speeding to the wall

we are close

only the people can work the brake

will they? will you?

if not you, no one

if not now, too late

see my other answers here at yahoo for confirmations

Answer 2

Russian - too broke to do anything
china - starting to get rich and enjoy material lives, won't start anything
India - similar to china, won't start anything
Pakistan - recently befriend with US. And get a bit more friendlier with India. So not as much tension as before, chance slim
European - Nah.. Nothing is going.
Israel - Hmm... If US say no, they won't do it. They have enough conventional weapon to overcome the neighbors. Plus US will back it.
US - very restricted by the govenment and people. Will use only after retailation.
N. Korean - That is the only deterrant they have. They are starving and broke. They need their weapon to bluff. If they ever use one, they will be annilated by the world. People will only scare if you use for bluff purpose. If you actually use it, they will not hesitate to remove you.

Iran - that is a bit tougher. They have money and they are a bit more extreme than other places. They may be the only country that will deploy it first. If US and the world goes nuts on them. But right now, many people think that they don't have any yet. They are trying to make it. The world is afraid of Iran because we don't understand them too well.

Thats just my opinion.

Answer 3

until 1989 the chances were pretty good. Right now we have more chance of getting hit by an asteroid. In 1989 the Berlin Wall came down signifying an end to communism. North Korea has yet to perfect their missiles and Iran has not started testing.

Answer 4

no. there is not adequate powerplants around the globe to attempt this... notwithstanding the atomic bombs that are scattered around the globe ought to have an influence on the surroundings for sensible they have adequate bombs to kill each and each human in the international. thats what concerns me. noone must have that type of skill and the radiation probably wont bypass to this point as australia or europe i imagine its more beneficial frequently than not in the asia area.¨ also you shouldnt make a journey to japan or asia for a lengthy time period because the winds and rain ought to spread the radiation round and provide way in direction of the floor in view that water soaks up radiation desire this helped edit. now unlikely to japan or asia: you may bypass once they cleared up whats secure and whats not :)

Answer 5

100%

Answer 6

If man is involved, it's probable...