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When did the United States become the nation with the world’s largest economy? What nations preceded the United States as the world’s largest economy. When will China surpass the United States?

2006-08-30 09:29:17 · 8 answers · asked by Deep Thought 5 in Social Science Economics

8 answers

In 1854 Britain had a gross domestic product of 712 million pounds. Using a conversion factor of 4.88, That is 3475 Million dollars. This was edged out for the first time by the United States with a gross domestic product of 3680 million dollars. See the links below. These figures are estimates only, so let's say the United States replaced Britain as the world largest economy some time in the 1850's.

Estimating if and when China will surpass the United States are speculative. China's growth rate will probably slow down some in the future, making extrapolation difficult. It should be noted with China's high population, they can have a higher GDP than the US even if they average 1/3 the output per person.

2006-08-31 04:22:41 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 0 0

The United States became the world's largest economy somewhere between the two world wars. Prior to that, it's hard to say, because modern national income accounting was developed (again, in the U.S.) around 1925. It was probably the British Empire though (not the UK in its current borders, but the entire empire including all colonies).

As to when China will surpass the U.S., it depends on assumptions you make. Assuming that China continues to grow at 9.5% from current GDP of about $1.5 trillion and the U.S., at 2.5% from current GDP of about $12 trillion, China should surpass the U.S. as the world's largest economy around 2035. (Note that the Chinese GDP estimates I am using are Atlas method; Chinese GDP estimated using purchasing power parity is much higher.)

The question is, how realistic are those assumptions? Also, history suggests that a politically unified China is an exception rather than a rule; it is entirely possible that North and South at some point will part ways, so there won't be a China in 2035.

2006-08-30 11:52:08 · answer #2 · answered by NC 7 · 1 0

The United States became the world's largest economy (passing Great Britain) after the second world war. China will probably surpass the United States within 10-15 years, assuming their current growth continues at roughly the same rate. And if Japan and China ever decide to stop funding American debt, it will happen much sooner.

2006-08-30 10:13:57 · answer #3 · answered by stevewbcanada 6 · 1 1

In 2005 the US GDP (ppp) was $12.36 trillion and China's was $8.859 trillion. The avg, growth rate for the past 10 years for the US was 3.34% and China was 8.87%.

Based on these assumptions, US GDP will be 15.05 in 2011 and China's will be 14.75. In 2012, US GDP will be 15.56 and China's 16.06. So, as the largest economy China may surpass us in 2012. that's 6 years! (note, when I started doing the calcs I thought it would be longer)

In other ways we will still be much better off however. Don't forget they also have a lot more people. Current per capita GDP (i.e. if GDP were divided exactly evenly among everyone, this would be everyone's annual salary) in the US is $41,800 and China's is $6,800. Using the same assumptions as above, China would not surpass us until 2040, and assuming China can continue its current growth until 2040 is a much more shaky assumption than assuming it can continue until 2012. So in terms of individual wealth (which also translates into everyone's health, education, etc) we may still dominate for awhile.

2006-08-30 11:15:39 · answer #4 · answered by Korinne 1 · 1 1

Just after World War II
Europe and some Asian countries had no money because of the war. As soon as the Marshall Plan was implemented it became the strongest economy

When Chinese establish themselves out of China, as Japanese did
We will be talking of a greater superpower

2006-08-31 00:56:10 · answer #5 · answered by spyblitz 7 · 1 0

Is it? Is that with or without its untold billions in foreign debt (6o% held by China)?

Just kidding...It was basically after WWII when the British Empire collapsed. Before then it was pretty well the biggest, but the War sealed it.

2006-08-30 09:41:32 · answer #6 · answered by Lenky 4 · 0 0

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2016-12-17 19:53:39 · answer #7 · answered by ? 4 · 0 0

i don't know but as far as i can remember they would do anything and everything to stay on top.

2006-08-30 10:07:07 · answer #8 · answered by babytalk 4 · 0 1

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