2006-08-23 02:42:27 · 9 answers · asked by whl04031998 2 in Science & Mathematics ➔ Weather
Looks like the most current modeling projects conversion to cat 1 hurricane on Sunday 8/27... still far out at sea... your good till at least the end of next week.
Aloha
2006-08-23 02:48:35 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 0⤋
The trick to getting a decent answer is to look a bit deeper than the graphic projections and to read the "forecast discussions" of the storm being released by the National Hurricane Center. As of 11:00 EDT today:
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/15. DEBBY CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BETWEEN
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED NEAR THE AZORES.
THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE BASIC SYNOPTIC THINKING. A
SIGNIFICANT WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALL GUIDANCE MODELS EXCEPT
THE NOGAPS BEGIN A RECURVATURE BY DAY 5...AND THE NOGAPS DOES SO
SHORTLY THEREAFTER. THERE HAS BEEN VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK AT THIS TIME...BUT I NOTE THAT MOST OF THE
GUIDANCE SHOWS A HARDER RIGHT TURN BY DAY 5 THAN THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST DOES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/1500Z 16.8N 31.5W 45 KT
12HR VT 24/0000Z 17.8N 33.6W 50 KT
24HR VT 24/1200Z 19.1N 36.5W 55 KT
36HR VT 25/0000Z 20.3N 39.3W 55 KT
48HR VT 25/1200Z 21.6N 42.2W 55 KT
72HR VT 26/1200Z 24.5N 47.5W 60 KT
96HR VT 27/1200Z 27.5N 51.0W 65 KT
120HR VT 28/1200Z 30.5N 53.0W 65 KT
You can stay up-to-date here:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
2006-08-23 11:04:04 · answer #2 · answered by kevinngunn 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
It will be a hurricane, but won't come anywhere near the coast of NC. You might get some good waves from the storm though.
2006-08-23 14:46:04 · answer #3 · answered by Casual Traveler 5 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Go to The Underground.com...it gives really good information about hurricanes...
2006-08-23 09:44:37 · answer #4 · answered by LeeLynn 5 · 0⤊ 0⤋
It will become a hurricane, but it is 10 days from significantly affecting land. Enjoy your vacation.
2006-08-23 09:48:53 · answer #5 · answered by empress_pam 4 · 0⤊ 1⤋
It is so far away, you never know. It either has lots of time to become huge and fast or lots of time to dwindle and go away.
2006-08-23 09:44:37 · answer #6 · answered by bretto24 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
i'd say watch the weather channel
2006-08-23 09:45:43 · answer #7 · answered by kini 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
unfortunately, you can look to see what the weatherman says; and then bet your money on the opposite.
2006-08-23 09:44:50 · answer #8 · answered by SST 6 · 0⤊ 1⤋
its likely but u wont be effected too much it wont reach u
2006-08-23 23:00:11 · answer #9 · answered by LISSA 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋