They're at about 3 to 4 ghz right now. How fast will they be in 10 years from now? 10 ghz? 20 ghz? How long before they are in the Terrahertz? LOL When the first IBM PC came out in the late 70's/early 80's, it was 4 mhz! Think how long ago that was, and now they are almost 4 ghz.
2006-08-13 17:36:35 · 17 answers · asked by snafu1 2 in Computers & Internet ➔ Hardware ➔ Desktops
peeeeeeow
2006-08-13 17:38:12 · answer #1 · answered by Chenier 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
One must understand that computers will be farely different in that time. We have almost reached the limit on how fast we can make current processors since we can only make the connections so small before we have to redesign the processor. In about 4-5 years we've jumped up 2 ghz so I would say we'd be more around the 6-7 ghz stock overclocking will take it higher. The thing I would say we may see advances in are the core utilization as quad cores are coming out this year the average user is adopting dual core whether they realize it or not. The big advances will be in coprocessors and cores along with increases in how efficiently memory can be handled. Also maybe the possibility of 128bit processors ?
2006-08-13 18:27:44 · answer #2 · answered by Kevin S 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Since you seem to be talking about 3 and 4 GHz clock frequencies you are referring to Intel chips. AMD chips are at a lower frequency for equivalent FLOPS or "Floating Point Operations." Do realize that frequency alone is NOT a determining factor. But be that as it may we can still refer to something called Moore's Law. (I also will refer to Intel chips since Moore was a co-founder of Intel.)
Moore's law has been around since about 1965. It is currently on an 18 month cycle as the "stable" platform for change. Some say 24 months but 18 is more or less good enough. What Moore's Law states is that a computer technology will double in speed in 18 months or technology current today will be half the price in 18 months. The figure of ten years means 120 months. Or roughly seven 18 month cycles. So the speed will double in 18 months, then that speed will double in 18 months and so on.
(Cycle = 18 months)
Clock Frequency:
4 GHz (Today)
8 GHz (Cycle 1)
16 GHz (Cycle 2)
32 GHz (Cycle 3)
64 GHz (Cycle 4)
128 GHz (Cycle 5)
256 GHz (Cycle 6)
512 GHz (Cycle 7)
Memory
2 GB (Today)
4 GB (Cycle 1)
8 GB (Cycle 2)
16 GB (Cycle 3)
32 GB (Cycle 4)
64 GB (Cycle 5)
128 GB (Cycle 6)
256 GB (Cycle 7)
You may say WOW! I do as well. But back in one of my engineering classes a teacher pointed out the 25MHz processors available at the time. He asked what the significance of that frequency was. I answerd "It is well into the RF spectrum". He stated that processors could not get much faster using the clock speed alone. That is as I type this on a 2 GHz AMD with 2GB of RAM. Something other than clock frequency will give way. It has to.
Back in 1990 20MB hard drives were considered large. Now a 32 MB thumb drive is VERY small. I routinely order 1.2 Terabyte packages of drives for the work SAN (Storage Area Network). When I built my latest home computer three months ago I got a 0.32 TereaByte drive. This is ONE THIRD of a TB for a HOME computer!
2006-08-13 17:57:25 · answer #3 · answered by hack_ace 4 · 0⤊ 0⤋
lol I know! On a humor sight, I saw a clipped ad from the 80's for IBM's "lightning fast" 25hz, 500meg hard drive computer. The price?
$8,000!!! Mind ya this is in 80's $.
It's hard to say what the speed'll be. They're already hitting a plateau as far as the present materials will alow for speed
2006-08-13 17:45:17 · answer #4 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
Terrahertz is a possibility in the distant future but it would almost be overkill... speculation over size of hard drives such as 10 or 100 TB is possible too but how many people really need all that storage?
2006-08-13 17:40:03 · answer #5 · answered by Heatmizer 5 · 0⤊ 0⤋
we hav 2 processor noe running on a single pc , hope in future it will be 4 or 5 processors running on ur pc. and speed will go up to 10 to 20 hz like a super computer of today
2006-08-13 17:53:12 · answer #6 · answered by shaggy 1 · 0⤊ 0⤋
10 years is a long way off there may not be a world in 10 years who know someone from space may take over us all and we not be on computer's just flying about with out the need of a plane
2006-08-13 17:40:16 · answer #7 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
As per the equation the capacity is doudled in 18 months. This will be going on untill we get the processor of the size of DNA.
2006-08-13 17:45:56 · answer #8 · answered by Pirate of the Bassein Creek 4 · 0⤊ 0⤋
There are several patents in nano tech which should speed up things more than expected. However as usual the software will become exponentially more cumbersome and computers will not seem any faster.
2006-08-13 17:51:17 · answer #9 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
This question was 10 years ago now. Time flies. In general computers are fast. How fast the Internet is depends on your broadband or network.
2016-06-14 06:31:46 · answer #10 · answered by Freya 1 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Its fun to look at posts like these multi core processors were the ticket as I have four in my phone just fun to look what people guessed would happen
2015-03-30 07:00:21 · answer #11 · answered by quadracer5487 1 · 0⤊ 0⤋