Some draft questions for Fantasy Football experts?

Question

1. I have the first pick in our 12-team non-keeper league. Prior to Roaf's retirement I was set on LJ, but now find myself wavering, with Saun Alexander (the "sure thing") as my alternative. Does the Chiefs' loss of their two OTs elevate Alexander to the best pick?

2. In addition to the two starting RBs, our league has a flex WR/RB spot (we also have a WR/TE flex), so that a team could start three RBs if it has them. Given that the truly viable backs will likely be gone by the end of the fourth round, is it worth it to use my first three picks on RBs, deliberately passing up on a WR who will likely score more points? My reasoning would be that, even if, say, a Willie Parker will score less points than a Marvin Harrison, I could still win out if I have a strong RB in that flex spot going against other teams' marginal RBs or even their fourth best WRs. Is this a foolish strategy?

Answer 1

Question #1 - Shuan Alexander is a better bet this year then Johnson. RB production is the result of a solid O Line. You are correct in being concerned that the KC line will be weak. There is speculation that Rof will be back. He declared Retitrement because he did not want to go to camp. So don't toss Johnson completely out the window.

Question #2 - RB's rule Fantasy Football. Whenever possible, take a starting back on a solid team. Wider Outs should move before tight ends as well. A solid #2 Reciever can emerge week to week, providing the same amount of points as a # wide out.

Answer 2

Question #1: I would pick S. Alexander as my first pick. As you have said, Johnson lost Roaf on the OL, while even though Alexander lost Hutchinson, he still has a solid OL.And in my opionion, I think LT is better than LJ. Espaicially with Phillip Rivers, who will use Tomlinson a lot!
So my answer is yes, S. Alexander is better than L. Johnson.

Question #2: I would use that WR/RB spot for a RB. But if the RB isn't good, and there is a good WR on the board, take the WR. And considering in a 12 team league and with you having the 1st overall draft pick, your 2nd round pick isn't going to have any top class or even good class RBs, at the very best a L. Jordan even though I dought it. And a 24th pick overall in the draft is a good time to pick up a very good WR like M. Harrison or at the worst a R. Wayne. So a M. Harrison is better than L. Jordan or probably worst. But on second thought I might want to draft P. Manning if he's on the board, but if not, definitely good after a WR. See, if P. Manning is off the board, T. Brady is a good pick, even though with a weaker defense and with only D. Branch to throw to, he might play worse than expected. While C. Palmer might miss some 4 games or more. M. Hasselbeck, he has S. Alexander but B. Engram and others especially without J. Jurevious isn't that good of a receiving core.
J. Delhomme has the receiving core, but interceptions are a big weakness of his. So taking P. Manning isn't that bad of an idea.

Answer 3

1) Alexander has downsides too. He plays on a team that has lost its stud right guard. He also plays on the super bowl runner-up team which traditionally has a terrible year the next year. He also was on the Madden 07 cover - which traditionally has a curse associated with it with such players getting injured. All of these argue against taking him. I would go LJ.

2) RB are much, much more consistent point scorers than WRs. Plus, the difference between a great WR and an 8th round WR isn't that much. The difference between Willy Parker and David Givens is pretty significant. If you can get a 3rd RB go for one.

Answer 4

Take SA. LJ has a new coach and coordinator besides poss missing his l tackle. He also hasn't started a full season. Losing Hutch isn't nearly as signifciant.

For #2, you need to be theoretical about you picks. The potential points scored isn't as important as the differential between your player, and the player's that your opponent has in the same slot. For instance, will your qb score more points than the average qb? How MANY more points? Tha'ts the differential. There is a far greater gap in differentials between rb's than qb's. You' d have to reserach it, but there are articles that can discuss it better. I think they call it relative value or something.

Answer 5

Correct me if I am wrong, but didn't Seattle lose their best offensive linemen as well. I usually load up with the running backs first and as far as recievers go....you can always start your recieving corps with one of the best TE's in the league. Honestly you can always pick up a good reciever in the fourth or even fifth round...but how many great scoring TE's are out there. Your flex strategy sounds on target. Remember what kind of a year TE Gonzalez had last year?

Answer 6

i would draft 3 good rb and wr. try drafting rb 1st pick, rb 2nd pick, wr 3rd, wr 4th this will cover your starters then draft your flex positions. always remember to draft your skill positions first.