Can you calculate how many births a woman must give on average for 6,000,000,000 people to exist in a time slot of 6000 years? And the human race only starts with one man and one woman.
2006-08-11
08:30:49
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8 answers
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asked by
Anonymous
in
Science & Mathematics
➔ Mathematics
Oh yeah there's more variables: if the offspring is a women she can also give birth, women have normal lifespan, and they can only have children when they're of age.
2006-08-11
08:43:34 ·
update #1
40 years is the amount alotted for giving birth.
2006-08-11
08:45:12 ·
update #2
OKAY, I just want to know if Creationism is mathematically possible. The rules are, you start out with Adam and Eve, 6000 years later you have 6 billion people.
2006-08-11
08:47:46 ·
update #3
Let's say for the sake of argument that a generation is 30 years. Over 6000 years, that's 200 generations. Let's also say that, over 6000 years, it's equally likely for a boy to be born as a girl.
At any given time, divide the population by two (to find the number of couples). They'll have "x" children, on the average, for their generation. For generation 0, there are x kids for generation 1. The x kids, then, are divided by two, and that (x / 2) number of couples will have (x² / 2) kids for generation 2. Generation 3 would have (x³ / 2²) kids. In general, for generation "t," there will be (x^t / 2^(t - 1)) kids.
For generation 200, this means there are (x^200 / 2^199) people, which is defined in the problem to be 6 billion.
x^200 / 2^199 = 6 × 10^9
x^200 = (6 × 10^9) × (2^199)
ln [x^200] = ln [(6 × 10^9) × (2^199)]
200 ln [x] = ln [6] + 9 ln [10] + 199 ln [2]
ln [x] = {ln [6] + 9 ln [10] + 199 ln [2]} / 200
ln [x] = {1.79175947 + 20.723265837 + 137.93628893} / 200
ln [x] = 160.4513142376 / 200
ln [x] = 0.802256571188
x = e^0.802256571188
x = 2.23056869
About 2¼ kids (that survive to adulthood) per couple over 200 generations would do it.
2006-08-11 09:08:25
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answer #1
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answered by Anonymous
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OK with with 40 years as the worst case scenario, then you'd have 150 generations between the alleged creation.
Assume x is the generation rate, then
x^150 = 6 billion
then, x = 1.16. This says that every forty years the population must incresae by 16 percent. If every couple had 3 kids that lived to age 40, that would more than take care of it I think, since that would be more like an extra 50% per generation.
You'd need to do a much more precise model to get birth and death rates in there, but I think it is safe to say it is possible to increase to 6B from just 2 in 6000 years.
2006-08-11 15:58:50
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answer #2
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answered by Captain_Ahab_ 3
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Well take an hypothesis that the woman have their babies at 30 years in the average so : 6000 years/30 =200
the number you are looking for is n with
n^200 = 6 000 000 000
so 200 log n =log 6 000 000 000
n = exp (log 6 000 000 000)/200 = 1.11
You have to multiply by 2 if you think male and female have the same probability to appear :
so 2.22 births with the hypothesis 30 years and male female 50%
For 40 years, that is
6000/40 = 150
n = exp (log 6e9)/150 = 1,16
so 2.32 births with the hypothesis 40 years and male female 50%
2006-08-11 15:40:57
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answer #3
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answered by fred 055 4
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this is a really complicated question. because you may have started with one woman, but her first child/children (twins) could have been a girl or two girls. so supposing that she hadn't given birth to twins, you have a 50% chance that each birth was a girl. okay you start with one woman, who, on average has 3 kids (2 girls). those 2 girl have 1 girl each: now you have a total of 1 woman and one man, who had 2 girls and one boy, who gave birth to 1 girl each and 2 boys each. total of 11 people, and 2 girls who can go on and have more kids....this is a long process...you can try to draw it out..it might be easier.
good luck! hope my idea got you started. :)
2006-08-11 15:41:23
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answer #4
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answered by Anonymous
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wrong question - one woman gave birth to some offspring they lived for a while then they themselves reproduced. One woman did not give rise to 6 billion - it is exponential growth.
2006-08-11 15:42:28
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answer #5
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answered by Allasse 5
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The math is irrelevant. God did create Adam and Eve. But God did not create Adam and Eve alone.
2006-08-11 17:00:16
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answer #6
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answered by El Lobo 1
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YOu must tell us what the average span of life of one person is.
2006-08-11 15:39:11
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answer #7
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answered by Ak2ng 3
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6,000,000,000,000,000,000 i think
2006-08-11 15:37:14
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answer #8
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answered by Anonymous
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