http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/opinion/editorials/stories/DN-shia_10edi.ART.State.Edition1.2c57c04.html
The Shia moment on the world stage is being born in fire, fanaticism and apocalyptic terror. Because the rise of the Shia cannot at this point be suppressed, the United States had better figure out how to manage it.
The Shia have been a despised and persecuted minority within Islam since virtually the beginning (the separation between Shia and Sunni originated in a dispute over the rightful successor of the Prophet). Ethnically Persian Iran has always been Shia, but in the neighboring Arab world, the Sunnis have always run the show.
Now, for the first time, a Shia-run Arab state exists, thanks to the U.S. military. Confounding Washington's expectations, Iraq's Shia majority has put its religious identity ahead of its national and ethnic identification and embraced Iran.
2006-08-10
02:32:28
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Politics & Government
➔ Politics
Meanwhile, Iran's power is waxing on the world stage, fueled by its massive oil revenues, defiant pursuit of nuclear weapons and sponsorship of populist Shia heroes Hezbollah.
Iranian-born American scholar Vali Nasr warns that the old Middle East, in which Washington depended on Sunni states – which are unnerved by the Shia ascendancy – to keep Iran in check, is collapsing. Better that we learn to deal constructively with Iran rather than confront it directly, he advises.
A distasteful shift in strategy? Yes. But given the diminished U.S. military and diplomatic influence these days, perhaps a wiser one – especially if we want to avoid a regional Sunni-Shia war in the world's gas pump.
One terrifying aspect of this issue could throw all bets off as far as engaging Iran from a rational-realist perspective: growing Shia apocalypticism. Islam teaches that a messianic figure called the Mahdi will emerge in a time of cataclysmic violence to usher in the end of the world.
2006-08-10
02:32:54 ·
update #1
Iran's fanatical president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, believes himself destined to prepare the Mahdi's path. Apocalyptic slogans recently have begun to appear on walls in Baghdad's Shia slums. Something dangerous is happening.
And there's this: Aug. 22 is the date on which many Muslims believe the Prophet ascended to heaven. It is also the date that Mr. Ahmadinejad, a man who vows to annihilate Israel, set to answer U.S. demands on ending Iran's nuclear weapons program. Prominent Islam scholar Bernard Lewis says that the world should not overlook this fire in the mind of Mr. Ahmadinejad and his followers.
Remaining ignorant of the Shia worldview is not something any of us can afford.
2006-08-10
02:33:02 ·
update #2