How accurate is the old farmers almanac, like the weather ?

Answer 1

Weather in Farmer's Almanacs are largely based on climatology, or the average weather over an extended period of time. As such, they can occasionally get the weather right. However, just as often, they tend to get the weather wrong.

Professional meteorologists have more skill at seasonal forecasts than the Almanac does. Also, despite the common perception in the general public, professional meteorology forecasts tend to have good accuracy, particularly within three days.

The Old Farmer's Almanac CAN be trusted on things that are much more predictable, such as tides, sunrise/sunset, and other highly predictable astronomical phenomena. You will have to decide for yourself the usefulness of their stories and recipes.

Answer 2

Farmers Almanac Accuracy

Answer 3

Very good answer from Texan!

I once read a report on the accuracy of the farmer's almanac, written by a university student who majored in statistics and climatology. The conclusion was that the farmer's almanac is no more accurate than if you make your own guess.

Answer 4

The farmers almanac is based on years of trends but isn't that accurate, probably no more than 50%. I tried to find an exact statistic but could not this quickly However, it has a ton of interesting things in it and I read it faithfully every single year.