it really depends on HOW risky the investment is. try using the sharpe ration (15% - risk free rate) / standard deviation of investment
then compare this with other available investment opporunities and see if it has the higher figure. whichever is higher, that is the investment for you.
2006-07-30 21:44:30
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answer #1
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answered by J 4
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First, really research the investment and make sure it is legitimate. But to answer your question, are you willing to take the risk involved to get those kinds of returns?
Some people will say that that is impossible or it's illegal. High risk doesn't mean illegal. I took a trade on the S&P 100 and made a 387% return in about 4 weeks. Was it high risk? Yes. Was it illegal? No, people trade OEX options all the time.
Just because someone doesn't understand it, doesn't make it a bad thing.
You have the first poster saying that you should diversity between property, equities and loans (don't know if he means borrowing money or lending money). I have an issue with his advice.
1) Property - If you've paid any attention to the news lately, you will see that the US real estate market is not fairing well. And this is only the beginning. As interest rates have risen, the real estate market has suffered. Some will say property values always go up. Yeah, ask people that invested in the San Diego Real Estate market back in the 80's (I think). Plus, when GDP figures were released on Friday, it showed the GDP slowed to 2.5% (versus 5.2% in Q1), but inflation rose 2.9%. If Bernanke is going to be the inflation fighter he claims to be, then he'll probably raise rates again on 8/8/06. Plus, when the GDP showed a sharper slower down then expected, the dollar fell. In order to keep the dollar propped up, the fed will have to raise interest rates. If the Fed has to choose between saving the U.S. housing market and the dollar, they'll choose the dollar. If he's talking about owning rental property, that's one thing, but look for real estate values to drop over the coming years.
2) Equities - the market runs on a 17-18 year cycle. The last bull ran from 1982 - 2000, the prior bear before that was about 1965 to 1982. So, since it is now 2006, we are only 6 years into a secular bear market, we still have another 11 - 1 2 years to go in this bear cycle. Do you know how to trade a bear market? If you don't, then stay out of it cause it will get ugly. We haven't even begun to see the horror that this bear is going to unleash.
3) Loans - if he's talking about borrowing, then the question you need to answer is this: What are interest rates going to do in say the next 6 month, year, etc? People that bought into the real estate market when rates were 1% made a major assumption and that was that rates would continue to stay low. So, if you're borrowing, are you willing to take the chance that rates are going to be left alone? I personally feel the fed has no choice but to continue to raise rates. In order to keep the dollar attractive, the Fed has to raise rates, considering the other central banks have raise their rates also. If he's talking about lending money, how much do you know about the lending business (unless you're buying bonds), but even then, what are interest rates going to be in the future? If you buy bonds, and rates go up, that puts pressure on the bond issuers to pay higher rates and puts downward pressure on the bond values.
The bottomline is, if the investment is a legitimate investment and not a scam, are you willing to take the necessary risks to get those kinds of returns?
Don't let anyone else make that decision for you, if they don't like it, that's fine. That is what is right for them, but what is right for you?
I trade the derivatives and 4x markets. The majority of people would not survive in those markets because of high risk they are. But for me, they're perfect as I have a very high risk tolerance level.
Stop asking other people what they think. Use the brain God gave you to make the decision if that investment with that risk/reward ratio is right for you.
Like I said, the markets I trade in, it's normal to return 100% in a matter of days or weeks, BUT, they are high risk markets. If you can handle the risk, the who cares what other people think. THE PRIMARY CONCERN IS CAN "YOU" HANDLE THE RISK? If you can not, then you have no business getting into it.
2006-07-31 01:31:19
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answer #2
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answered by 4XTrader 5
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Seems it would be a bit risky. I can find some Income Trusts that are giving out at 10% every 180 days, but any more than that I don't trust. And I'm guessing you aren't even talking abotu Income Trusts anyways.
2006-07-31 18:31:49
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answer #3
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answered by ulchka 3
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Yes, You could become a loan shark like Al Capone.
the other answer is no
Citibank CD settle for 6% for 6 months. that the best return right now
2006-07-30 18:43:23
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answer #4
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answered by Hoa N 6
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2016-12-11 03:21:34
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answer #5
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answered by Anonymous
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yes, for safe return on your investment do alot of research and then invest long term in property, medium tern in shares and short term in loans(money)
2006-07-30 18:23:45
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answer #6
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answered by elvenlike13 3
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It would be VERY risky to get that much - yes. BE ready to lose.
2006-07-31 02:25:39
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answer #7
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answered by vegas_iwish 5
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no way.
2006-07-30 18:39:01
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answer #8
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answered by chanadaler b 1
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