RE: Hurricanes?

Question

i've been told that becuase of all the crappy weather that weve had in florida, were less likely to have a hurricane. in a month, id say weve had maybe 5 really nice sunny days, and the majority of them ugly, rainy days, which is very unusual for florida, let alone south florida. does that mean anything?

Answer 1

Hi,

I lived in Florida for 20 years, just got out this past April. Hurricane Charley blasted the hell out of us in Orlando and I don't even want to try to imagine what it did to the coast. My understanding of hurricanes is that they have active cycles and dormant cycles and each cycle lasts about 50 years. There hasn't been THAT much hurricane activity in the last 50 years until the last 2-3 years. To me that means that the active cycle is coming around and that Florida and the rest of the hurricane prone regions of the world can expect more hurricane activity over the next 50 years. There are probably mini-cycles too, based on el nino/la nina cycles that probably last 5-6 years, but on the whole, I hate to tell you that hurricane activity worldwide is likely to be more over the next 50 years than it has been in the last 50 years. But I'm no expert. I hope everyone will be safe and that we'll have no more Katrina-level catastrophes. You might want to check with the National Weather Service at www.srh.noaa.gov they should have everything you need to know. When you do get a hurricane warning, take it very seriously. Be sure, above all, that you have sufficient CLEAN water to last at least a week, because you may be without power for that long or longer (we were powerless for 9 days after Charley, and Orlando isn't even on the coast). Have plenty of non-perishable food on hand and a way to heat it and gas up all your vehicles as soon as you hear of a hurricane threat, gas prices skyrocket the closer the hurricane gets (oil companies love to take advantage of others misfortunes, surprise, surprise). I don't know how long you've lived in Florida, but the usual summer weather pattern is sunny and hot in the morning, heavy rain at 3:00 pm or thereabouts for about an hour or so, then after the rain, hot and steamy. In the winter, it's usually drier than the summer.

Answer 2

Just a quick note:


Over the past tow months, SOI values have been negative... a POSSIBLE sign of a developing ElNino.
One problem..... the equatorial Pacific was not warming.......... until now. So, we COULD be headed for an ElNino...... which would mean a less active tropical season....... but this pattern has to hold up for at least 3 months to be considered ElNino, so..... just GET prepared...... and STAY prepared.


Take care...
Weather_Wise911

Answer 3

Nope, it sure doesn't! however, you ARE less likely to have them because of the temperature of the the Atlantic and the Gulf. It's a full degree lower than it was last year this time. However, with the heat wave.....that may change, and very quickly. Do be careful.

Answer 4

Hey there, there is a tropical storm out in the gulf, or one that will soon be a tropical storm and it is headed towards Florida I think. Check out the national hurricane center's homepage.