Who thinks theres a coming war with N. Korea?

Question

maybe not this year, but soon

Answer 1

There's no chance. The current administration (thankfully) sees no strategic or tactical value in instigating military action with the Koreans. If a war were to take place, it would've already happened in the past 50 years. My layman's read on the situation is that Rumsfeld et al. are looking to transfer the containment strategy more to the Air Force and Navy, and away from the Army.

My personal opinion is that the threat is completely minimal. North Korea has zero allies and no resources. The only drawback of containment is that their people starve.

Answer 2

I don't think Kim Jong Il is dumb enough to go far enough as to provoke a war. The South Korean's are much more prepared and advanced now than they were in 1950. The Chinese wouldn't dare help the North now in war either.

There could however be a first strike by the United States or Japan. That could cause the North to invade the South which would still end with total victory and unification of Korea. I don't think the North would have an insurgency once they meet there brothers from the South.

Answer 3

I think it is unlikely. There would be little support for such a war in the region. In fact, the only two countries that are making a fuss at this point is the U.S. and Japan. The two most hated countries in the region. China, Russia and South Korea would probably support N. Korea in such a showdown. Maybe not militarily, but the three would at least condemn the U.S. and/or Japan for striking N. Korea first.

N. Korea is playing this very shrewdly. They know that war would not be justified based solely on unarmed missile tests. At the same time, they know that they are infuriating Japan and the U.S.

Answer 4

The US and South Korea have been in a state of war with North Korea for over 50 years now. They have agreed on a ceasefire. But they never had any formal peace agreement which ended the 1950's Korean War.

I don't think that armed combat in this conflict will resume any time soon. The problem for USA is that China is a close ally of North Korea. And last time when USA was on the verge of defeating North Korea, China sent in its army against the US. And the US army lost all of its territorial gains. The present ceasefire line in between North and South Korea is where the Chinese and US armies fought each other to a standstill.

I don't think that either US or China want to go to war with each other again. And that's why there won't be any serious armed combat any time soon.

I think that the present disagreement between USA and North Korea is not what it seems. North Korea is not doing this on its own. China is behind it. And the reason why China is behind it is because China has a dispute with USA over Taiwan.

The US has been selling weapons and providing political support to Taiwan government for many years. Both US and Japan have declared that they will defend Taiwan in case of war between Taiwan and China. And this is totally unacceptable to the Chinese. They consider Taiwan a part of China. And they have said many times that they will go to war with Taiwan, if it declares formal independence.

The US is arming Taiwan and China is supporting and perhaps secretly goading on North Korea in response. Taiwan is developing missiles capable of reaching mainland China. And North Korea is developing missiles capable of reaching mainland USA.

It's a tit for tat kind of competition. And if USA tries to end this conflict with military action, then you can be sure that China will send it's army against the US. They won't allow the North Koreans to be defeated.

I think that both US and Chinese leaders know what's going on. And they will prevent the situation from deteriorating into open war.

Answer 5

There won't be any war with North Korea because North Korea has no OIL. Bush will go to 'war' with Iran first for the same reason he illegally and unconstitutionally invaded Iraq: OIL!

Answer 6

I agree with the first poster. It'll happen. The best thing to do is Strategic bombing followed by propaganda leaflet's. Let the NK civilians understand how brainwashed they have been and tell them not to fight back when the attack starts. Hopefully it will be a united effort by at least the U.S., China, Russia, S. Korea and Japan. I'd hate to see America go it damn near alone..

Answer 7

maybe north korea is extremly scary. I believ the old tactic of bombing the hell out of a place will not work with them because they have the posibility of serious weponary. north korea we are going to have to approach in a more secretive way. with special forces having a much more active role. the military will need to face it head on. and to be safe the war will have to be over very quick

Answer 8

North Korea is a smoke screen.

Answer 9

yes unless the whole world comes to its sences and learns from history,that there are no winners in war,then its not a matter of if,but when.

Answer 10

Not with the USA, But most likely with Japan..