When is the next big California Earthquake expected?

Question

I realize there are frequent little tremors and quakes, etc...I'm talking the next one we will be talking about for many decades (or even centuries) later.

Even though nobody will probably listen to this, try to answer only if you have some actual scientific data or a reputable website that explains this!

Answer 1

Earthquakes are the hardest things in the planet to predict... they do not follow a distinct pattern. Therefore, you can talk about the average cycle, but it is very inaccurate. Looking at the last five large earthquakes in northern and southern California, the average is ~100 years, but the maximum between two events is over about 250 years. So, the last big LA earthquake was in 1857, and the last big SF earthquake is in 1906, so both are 'overdue', but don't be too surprized if they don't fault tomorrow. There is also the most southern segment, the Imperial segment, and it is even more overdue but less studied.

These are only averages, and the variation is tremendous. Just know that you need to be prepared. If you look up the Parkfield experiment, you will see how unpredictable this is and how much more needs to be done.

Answer 2

No earthquake everywhere interior the international impacts yet another earthquake everywhere interior the international. the prospect of any earthquake taking position close to you and me in California isn't any extra or a minimal of it become on Wednesday. Haiti befell about 2 thousand miles away alongside a remodel fault between the North American and Caribbean plates. Chile's quake become 3 thousand miles away at a subduction zone between the Nazca and South American plates. there turned right into a strong-sized earthquake off of Okinawa, about 4 thousand miles away, sufficiently huge for people to fret about, that befell alongside the subduction of the Philippine and Pacific plates. the purely progression is they thoroughly coincidentally befell in a particularly little while compared to what we oftentimes see. this implies easily not something. heavily, they weren't even on an same boundary or same *plates!* this stuff take position. you could have a lengthy era of quiet that is then punctuated by using a "flurry" of interest -- coincidental. that is not a lot diverse than different issues that take position in our on a daily basis lives. My city had in simple terms about no violent crimes of any variety for about 2 years. Then, for no obtrusive reason, and all of them thoroughly unrelated, we had 3 murders. Now we've had a lengthy era of peace back. this stuff take position, and there is not something threatening about it.

Answer 3

it is expected everyday. There has been alot of research on calif. quakes and fault lines. There is only probables as to when, one fault may indicate a furture rupture will happen within the next 20 years, another good example would be with the san andreas fault, they (USGS) states it can rupture at anytime with a huge quake. So be prepared and dont wait until 10 yrs from now to be prepared.

Answer 4

Yesterday, and the day before that, and the day before that, and so on, we are overdue by a long shot, watch, "The Inconvenient Truth" if your concerned about that kind of stuff.

Answer 5

Be prepared I did an analysis in my geography class and read it in a magazine. Just be ready, and take care.

Answer 6

Earthquakes cannot be predicted. Not far enough in advance at least.

Answer 7

They say it is overdue

Answer 8

anytime

Answer 9

Any time, now....