股災怎算？

Question

今年有很多人（新手）問股票，是不是股災的先兆？

咁我的強積金由全部香港股票應轉去那一類型基金穩陣？（保本好無用呀！）

０７年十月是否真有股災呢？

８７年是（美國）利率引起的，

９７年是亞洲經濟泡沫引起的，

０７年如果股市再唔調整，十月股災會死幾多人（借了孖展的實跳樓的啊，次次都係咁。）呢？

喂Mm你好似無答喎，我呢條有四個問號，如果你一句，我給你最佳選擇，其他人會Quote錯例啊！

哇！係咪問得唔好定Ｄ人眼花！

我最主要問強積金應怎處理，都答非所問。

多謝Cyc的回覆，我大你十年啦！全部港股，今年賺唔少啦！

１．利率或會上升；
２．匯豐已經有盈利警告；
３．國內經濟有泡沫化（樓宇空置率幾嚴重），雖然基建可以不停上馬；
４．外圍股崩。

我想Switch一半過去環球，好無呢？

喂，ＫＥＬＶＩＮ，強積金點樣換曬做人民幣呀！你教我啦！

還有港股Ｐ／Ｅ而家唔低啦！好似９７年北控呀！

hosummok，我想檢舉你，你的答案無稜兩可，但檢舉無此項；

浪費網絡資源，我係唔會檢舉的。

不經覺到了最後數天，我比較喜歡ＫＥＮＮＹ，另四位文不對題，唔好意思，無得侯選。

投票囉！

Answer 1

實際上發生股災的機會不大.

D人話十年一次股災, (1987, 1997, 2007)但係宜家個個都警覺十分高, P/E 亦低, 有盈利支持,,,,,,small adjustment will take place but not a great crash.

For the MPF fund, it is definately a very long term investment. You cannot get your profit until your retirement. If you are still young, I would suggest you to place most of the contrbution in High Yield product like Share Fund. However, if you are afraid of the crash next year, it is OK to switch the fund to another field like Bond Fund, Funds related to developed countries like Euro Property Fund. If I were you (I'm 25), I will place more than half of my contribution in China Share Fund,,,

2006-12-16 19:20:28 補充：
Sorry there are lots of Global fund,,so I cannot comment here. You're still young but if u are afraid of crash next year, you may switch it into bond fund. (but be ware of the administrative charge of switching)

Answer 2

股災機會不大
87年股災主要係地產股下挫,而主要因素仍然好好
but now 升左2000點,可能有D調整
下試18000點
but有機會升20000點

Answer 3

我完全認同你的想法,保本基金唔夠進取,但我認為一半轉為保本,另一半轉歐洲基金.
等07年完結再檢討.

2006-12-20 21:10:33 補充：
股市永遠都是少數人賺錢,當"牛頭角順嫂"都在談論股市的時候,要小心啦!!如果想進取而有可觀回報的基金,我認為越南和印度基金可以留意.07年中以後,真係要小心呀!!

Answer 4

如果驚股市跌, 咪轉玩外幣, 唱晒做人仔, 擺2年

不過個人認為股災機會不大

Answer 5

As long as your 基金 is invested in some sound blue chip shares, it shoud be alright. Look at HSBC (0005), 0001, 0011, they recover real fast after the big crash in 1997.
Or you can invest in some low risk balance fund.

Answer 6

今年不是股災的先兆,只是大量熱錢流入.
股災通常冇人預料到,當所有人認為嗰個時候不是股災or冇人提起就出現.